Anomalies in Vote Counts and Their Effects on Election 2020

A Quantitative Analysis of Decisive Vote Updates in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Georgia on and after Election Night

Vote Integrity
(November 24, 2020)

Executive Summary

In the early hours of November 4th, 2020, Democratic candidate Joe Biden received several major “vote spikes” that substantially — and decisively — improved his electoral position in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Georgia. Much skepticism and uncertainty surrounds these “vote spikes.” Critics point to suspicious vote counting practices, extreme differences between the two major candidates’ vote counts, and the timing of the vote updates, among other factors, to cast doubt on the legitimacy of some of these spikes. While data analysis cannot on its own demonstrate fraud or systemic issues, it can point us to statistically anomalous cases that invite further scrutiny. 

This is one such case: Our analysis finds that a few key vote updates in competitive states were unusually large in size and had an unusually high Biden-to-Trump ratio. We demonstrate the results differ enough from expected results to be cause for concern.

With this report, we rely only on publicly available data from the New York Times to identify and analyze statistical anomalies in key states. Looking at 8,954 individual vote updates (differences in vote totals for each candidate between successive changes to the running vote totals, colloquially also referred to as “dumps” or “batches”), we discover a remarkably consistent mathematical property: there is a clear inverse relationship between difference in candidates’ vote counts and and the ratio of the vote counts. (In other words, it’s not surprising to see vote updates with large margins, and it’s not surprising to see vote updates with very large ratios of support between the candidates, but it is surprising to see vote updates which are both). 

The significance of this property will be further explained in later sections of this report. Nearly every vote update, across states of all sizes and political leanings follow this statistical pattern. A very small number, however, are especially aberrant. Of the seven vote updates which follow the pattern the least, four individual vote updates — two in Michigan, one in Wisconsin, and one in Georgia — were particularly anomalous and influential  with respect to this property and all occurred within the same five hour window.

In particular, we are able to quantify the extent of compliance with this property and discover that, of the 8,954 vote updates used in the analysis, these four decisive updates were the 1st, 2nd, 4th, and 7th most anomalous updates in the entire data set. Not only does each of these vote updates not follow the generally observed pattern, but the anomalous behavior of these updates is particularly extreme. That is, these vote updates are outliers of the outliers.

The four vote updates in question are: 

  1. An update in Michigan listed as of 6:31AM Eastern Time on November 4th, 2020, which shows 141,258 votes for Joe Biden and 5,968 votes for Donald Trump
  2. An update in Wisconsin listed as 3:42AM Central Time on November 4th, 2020, which shows 143,379 votes for Joe Biden and 25,163 votes for Donald Trump
  3. A vote update in Georgia listed at 1:34AM Eastern Time on November 4th, 2020, which shows 136,155 votes for Joe Biden and 29,115 votes for Donald Trump
  4. An update in Michigan listed as of 3:50AM Eastern Time on November 4th, 2020, which shows 54,497 votes for Joe Biden and 4,718 votes for Donald Trump

This report predicts what these vote updates would have looked like, had they followed the same pattern as the vast majority of the 8,950 others. We find that the extents of the respective anomalies here are more than the margin of victory in all three states — Michigan, Wisconsin, and Georgia — which collectively represent forty-two electoral votes.

Extensive mathematical detail is provided and the data and the code (for the data-curation, data transformation, plotting, and modeling) are all attached in the appendix to this document[1].

More…

Biden Fractures Foot While Playing with Dog

To ‘Wear Boot’ For Several Weeks

3CBSPhilly
(November 29, 2020)

WILMINGTON, Del. (AP) — President-elect Joe Biden fractured his right foot while playing with one of his dogs, an injury discovered in a scan Sunday and that will likely require him to wear a boot for several weeks, his doctor said.

Biden suffered the injury on Saturday and visited an orthopedist in Newark, Delaware, on Sunday afternoon, his office said.

“Initial x-rays did not show any obvious fracture,” but medical staff ordered a more detailed CT scan, his doctor, Kevin O’Connor, said in a statement. The subsequent scan found tiny fractures of two small bones in the middle of his right foot, O’Connor said.

“It is anticipated that he will likely require a walking boot for several weeks,” O’Connor said.

More…

Nov 29 MHB Report: ‘Gangstalking Mom’ (video)

MHB Report

On occasion biography intersects with personal research, which I believe to be the case with my mother’s untimely passing 25 years ago. This event is examined in the context of the recent acknowledgement and research on the phenomena of ’mobbing,’ ‘gangstalking’ and ‘targeted individuals.’

Powell Files 104 Page Lawsuit in Georgia; Trump taking action in Pennsylvania

Beyond the Noise
November 26, 2020

Sidney Powell promised and she delivered. Two extensive lawsuits in Michigan and Georgia. Is this the Kraken she was talking about? More than that, The lawsuits entail more than just basic evidences, it is a comprehensive detailing of the voter fraud that took place in these states. General Michael Flynn has received a full pardon from President Trump. Will he be able to hold public position again?

Sidney Hall Was Not Fired By Trump

Leave it to Fake News to put the worst spin on anything coming out of Trump world.

November 23, 2020 (LifeSiteNews) – Sunday evening the Trump legal team, Rudy Giuliani and Jenna Ellis put out a brief statement:

“Sidney Powell is practicing law on her own. She is not a member of the Trump Legal Team. She is also not a lawyer for the President in his personal capacity.”

Some interpreted this to mean that there had been falling out between Powell and Giuliani, or worse, that Powell had been “fired” by the president. 

The thought that the key legal actors charged with saving our republic from a brazen election heist might have had a falling out was disconcerting.  The Left was gleeful; conservatives were glum.  

Powell’s own statement set the record straight.  Unfortunately it was delayed by the fact she had just been suspended by Twitter, an all too common fate for anyone right of center.  

More…

Nov 24 MHB Report: Manufacturing Covid Lockdowns?

Menacing the Public with Uncertain Data

MHB Report

States across America are now declaring severe lockdowns in response to a regular stream of disturbing Covid statistics. Yet who’s behind then number-crunching? The terrifying figures are generated by the Covid Tracking Project, an obscure entity operated by a group of biotech entrepreneurs and young statistics novices, and housed at Apple Computer heiress Laurene Powell Jobs’ far-left Atlantic magazine. 

Top Pathologist Claims Coronavirus “Greatest Hoax Ever Perpetrated on Public”

Paul Joseph Watson
Summit News

(November 18, 2020)

Top pathologist Dr. Roger Hodkinson told government officials in Alberta during a zoom conference call that the current coronavirus crisis is “the greatest hoax ever perpetrated on an unsuspecting public.”

Hodkinson’s comments were made during a discussion involving the Community and Public Services Committee and the clip was subsequently uploaded to YouTube.

Noting that he was also an expert in virology, Hodkinson pointed out that his role as CEO of a biotech company that manufactures COVID tests means, “I might know a little bit about all this.”

“There is utterly unfounded public hysteria driven by the media and politicians, it’s outrageous, this is the greatest hoax ever perpetrated on an unsuspecting public,” said Hodkinson.

The doctor said that nothing could be done to stop the spread of the virus besides protecting older more vulnerable people and that the whole situation represented “politics playing medicine, and that’s a very dangerous game.”

More…

JFK and the Lost Prospects for Peace

JFK and the Lost Prospects for Peace” was originally published eight years ago today, on the 49th anniversary of President John F. Kennedy’s assassination. The piece must have hit the mark with at least a few readers. I was especially thrilled when author Jim Douglas, for example, sent me an autographed copy of his JFK and the Unspeakable shortly after “Lost Prospects” appeared. I believe this is more relevant today, as the United States stands once again at a major crossroads, than in 2012.JFT

James F. Tracy
MemoryHoleBlog

(Originally posted November 22, 2012)

Report From Iron Mountain: On The Possibility and Desirability of Peace is a uniquely important document worthy of careful reconsideration a half-century after JFK’s passing. It points to not only the rationales behind the military industrial complex and its overarching influence, but perhaps more importantly how a very real discussion concerning the nation’s priorities proceeded under Kennedy’s watch—a window of possibility that was violently shut on November 22, 1963.[1]

Continue reading JFK and the Lost Prospects for Peace

A Promised Land of Lies (Video Commentary)

What exactly is the 44th US President’s true legacy? What did he bear witness to? Some will remember the Obama presidency for its raft of sensationalized mass casualty events and pleas for gun control. Others will remember the Great Wall Street bailout, or Obama’s obsession with drone kill lists, and R2P/Responsibility to Protect foreign policy. Still others will recollect the president’s opaque personal history, his rock star appeal alongside the administration’s brazen hostility toward news media. However one reconsiders those eight years, it was a time when promises were left unfulfilled and untruth reigned supreme.